Here we go again, Another Early Start to the Season. | Tropical Storm Arlene Update #1 - April 20, 2017
It happened again, guys. This is not an April Fools’ joke. You’re not high just because it’s 4/20. This is real life. The 2017 Hurricane Season has taken an early start with what was Subtropical Depression One to Tropical Depression One. And now, Tropical Storm Arlene. The first named storm for the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
Winds of 45 mph as of the 5:00 advisory from the National Hurricane Center in Miami with an air pressure of 993 millibars and moving at a Northwest direction at 14 mph. Thought the storm was not going to reach Tropical Storm status, or in this case, Subtropical status, due to the state that it’s over cooler waters. Which that and tropical systems don’t blend well. Because you know that warm ocean waters, possibly around 80 degrees, is fuel to tropical systems to get their act together. This is not the case with Arlene like the same with Alex back in January of 2016.
Projected path for the storm, courtesy of the NHC, shows that…the storm is at its last leg. Because forecasts show that the storm will be broken apart around either the late evening hours or the early morning hours. No threat to land, which is good news. Unless you’re working on a boat like a shipping cargo, then I would probably be on a lookout. Tropical Storm Arlene, first named storm for the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Rare to see a tropical system to form in the month of April. Last time a tropical system formed in that month was Tropical Storm Ana back in 2003. And I know what you’re probably going to say, so I’ll say it anyway. We’re not sure. I’m not sure. The forecasters are not sure on whether or not a storm in the Atlantic forming before the season begins would mark an active season. Not entirely. If you look at the past two seasons when we have storms that formed before the official start on June 1st, whether its Ana in 2015 or Alex and Bonnie in 2016, take that with a grain of salt. Colorado State released their forecasts for the upcoming season, calling for what looked like a mixed bag between average and less average. So…near average would be best suited. Reason? A possible El Nino could resurface. And you know how El Nino plays out when it comes to the Tropics for both the Atlantic and Pacific. A more active Pacific and a less active Atlantic. So…it’s too early to tell. Stick around to what the forecasters are saying. I don’t know when my forecast is about to take place or NOAA’s gonna drop their forecasts for the 2017 season. So there’s that.
But yeah, we have Arlene. The first named storm for the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season. And above the very text you’re reading is of course, the same list from the 2011 Season, which of course, is the very same list from the hyperactive 2005 season. Don’t get any ideas on the 2005 ideal. Same list from the 2011 season with a minor exception. Mostly around the “I” named storm, “Irma”. The name “Irma” will be used for the first time this year, replaced Irene after creating devastating destruction along its path. Most importantly, around the Caribbean and New England, mostly Vermont when Irene drenched the state. Besides Arlene, next name on the list is Bret, followed by Cindy, Don, Emily, Franklin, Gert, Harvey, Irma, Jose, Katia, Lee, Maria, Nate, Ophelia, Philippe, Rina, Sean, Tammy, Vince, and Whitney. Names get recycled every six years unless a name or two gets retired. Meaning that if one or more of these names create havoc during the season, it will get the boot. And a new name will be added for the 2023 season. So that’s possibly it for the Tropical Update. Might be the only time to do this because Arlene is going bye-bye. No, it’s NOT getting retired. It hasn’t done anything. It’s gonna die. So tell me what you think in the comments below. Is your name on this year’s list? Will this be a near-average season? Are we transitioning to a potential El Nino? And of course, if you live around the coastal cities, are you prepared for the upcoming season?
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